Mets vs. Cubs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mets vs. Cubs MLB game on April 17, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Mets
Kodai Senga 0-2, 7.07 ERA
4
12
Wrigley Field
Cubs
Edward Cabrera 1-0, 1.62 ERA
Wrigley Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Mets
0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 14 2
Cubs
4 2 0 1 0 0 3 2 X 12 14 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Mets
    0%
  • Cubs
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Bo Bichette grounds out to shortstop. Tyrone Taylor out at second.
Quick Box Score
Mets Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Pham PH1000000.0000.000
2 B. Bichette 3B5010001.2000.400
3 F. Lindor SS4120000.5001.250
4 L. Robert CF4010000.2500.750
5 F. Alvarez C3121010.6671.417
6 M. Melendez DH3120011.6671.417
7 M. Semien 2B4121001.5001.250
8 M. Vientos 1B2010000.5001.000
9 T. Taylor LF3022001.6671.334
Cubs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 N. Hoerner 2B5132100.6001.800
2 M. Busch 1B4220011.5001.100
3 A. Bregman 3B5110001.2000.400
4 I. Happ LF4112111.2501.400
5 S. Suzuki RF5221001.4001.000
6 M. Shaw DH3111001.3331.000
7 C. Kelly C4110000.2500.500
8 P. Crow-Armstrong CF3000011.0000.250
9 D. Swanson SS2211010.5001.000

Mets vs. Cubs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Mets vs. Cubs
  • Date: Friday, April 17, 2026
  • Time: 2:20 PM ET
  • Venue: Wrigley Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Cubs favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 9.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Mets 41¢, Cubs 59¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Mets: 43%
  • Cubs: 57%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mets a win probability of 43%, while the Cubs have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Cubs are more likely to beat the Mets in the MLB game at Wrigley Field on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Mets vs. Cubs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.