Yankees vs. Rays Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Yankees vs. Rays MLB game on April 11, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Yankees
Max Fried 2-0, 1.35 ERA
4
5
Tropicana Field
Rays
Nick Martinez 0-0, 2.25 ERA
Tropicana Field
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 RHE
Yankees
1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 4 8 0
Rays
1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 2 5 9 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Yankees
    0%
  • Rays
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Jonathan Aranda hits into a force out to second base. Yandy Díaz to second. Taylor Walls to third. Chandler Simpson scores.
Quick Box Score
Yankees Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Grisham CF3000020.0000.400
2 A. Judge RF3000021.0000.400
3 C. Bellinger LF5020001.4000.800
4 B. Rice 1B3010011.3331.267
5 R. Grichuk DH1200000.0000.000
6 J. Chisholm 2B5110001.2000.600
7 A. Wells C5111101.2001.000
8 J. Caballero SS5023002.4001.000
9 A. Rosario 3B3000001.0000.000
Rays Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 Y. Díaz DH4011001.2500.650
2 H. Feduccia C1000001.0000.000
3 J. Aranda 1B4002001.0000.000
4 J. Caminero 3B4110001.2500.750
5 B. Williamson 2B4000001.0000.000
6 J. DeLuca RF4021001.5001.000
7 C. Mullins CF4100001.0000.000
8 C. Simpson LF12100001.0002.000
9 T. Walls SS3121001.6671.334

Yankees vs. Rays: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Yankees vs. Rays
  • Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
  • Time: 6:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Tropicana Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Yankees favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Yankees 61¢, Rays 39¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Yankees: 58%
  • Rays: 42%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Yankees a win probability of 58%, while the Rays have a win probability of 42%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Yankees are more likely to beat the Rays in the MLB game at Tropicana Field on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Yankees vs. Rays predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.