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Pirates vs. Cubs Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pirates vs. Cubs MLB game on April 11, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB
Pirates
Braxton Ashcraft 1-1, 2.25 ERA
4
3
Apr 11, 2:20 PM ET Wrigley Field
Cubs
Edward Cabrera 1-0, 0.00 ERA
Apr 11, 2:20 PM ET Wrigley Field
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pirates | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 1 |
Cubs | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
- Pirates
- Cubs
Win Probability
Last At Bat
Outs
Seiya Suzuki pops out to Ryan O'Hearn.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O. Cruz | CF | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .800 | 1.833 |
| 2 | B. Lowe | 2B | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .250 | 0.750 |
| 3 | J. Mangum | LF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 4 | R. O'Hearn | 1B | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | 0.200 |
| 5 | M. Ozuna | DH | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | 0.200 |
| 6 | N. Yorke | RF | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .750 | 1.800 |
| 7 | N. Gonzales | 3B | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 8 | K. Griffin | SS | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .200 | 0.400 |
| 9 | J. Bart | C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | N. Hoerner | 2B | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .167 | 0.334 |
| 2 | M. Shaw | 1B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 3 | A. Bregman | 3B | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .333 | 0.666 |
| 4 | I. Happ | LF | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0.167 |
| 5 | S. Suzuki | DH | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 6 | P. Crow-Armstrong | CF | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .250 | 0.650 |
| 7 | M. Amaya | C | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | .000 | 0.200 |
| 8 | M. Conforto | RF | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .333 | 0.933 |
| 9 | D. Swanson | SS | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .250 | 0.650 |
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Pirates vs. Cubs: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Pirates vs. Cubs
- Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
- Time: 2:20 PM ET
- Venue: Wrigley Field
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Cubs favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Pirates +130, Cubs -130
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Pirates: 41%
- Cubs: 59%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pirates a win probability of 41%, while the Cubs have a win probability of 59%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Cubs are more likely to beat the Pirates in the MLB game at Wrigley Field on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Pirates vs. Cubs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.