Diamondbacks vs. Padres: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Diamondbacks vs. Padres MLB game on Sunday, September 27, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
D-Backs
Michael Soroka 9-5, 3.31 ERA
4
9
Petco Park
Padres
Randy Vásquez 10-6, 4.01 ERA
Petco Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
D-Backs
0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 0 4 8 0
Padres
0 0 1 1 1 1 3 2 X 9 11 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • D-Backs
    0%
  • Padres
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
James McCann grounds out to third base, Jake Cronenworth to Ty France.
Quick Box Score
D-Backs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 R. Waldschmidt LF0000000.0000.000
2 I. Vargas 2B0000000.0000.000
3 G. Perdomo SS3010010.3330.833
4 A. Del Castillo C1000000.0000.000
5 J. Fernandez 3B1000001.0000.000
6 P. Smith DH4000001.0000.000
7 T. Tawa RF4111000.2500.500
8 J. McCann 1B4010000.2500.500
9 J. Lawlar CF3110000.3330.666
Padres Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 D. Harris RF5220000.4000.800
2 S. Taylor 2B3010001.3330.666
3 T. France 1B4221010.5001.100
4 L. Campusano DH2100011.0000.333
5 A. Hays LF4222011.5001.100
6 J. Cronenworth 3B2001021.0000.600
7 F. Fermin C4023001.5001.250
8 S. Song SS3100011.0000.250
9 J. Bowen CF3000002.0000.000

Diamondbacks vs. Padres: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Sunday

  • Teams: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres
  • Date: Sunday, September 27, 2026
  • Time: 3:10PM ET
  • Venue: Petco Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Diamondbacks (-1.5, +115), Padres (+1.5, -117)
  • Moneyline: Diamondbacks -144, Padres +144
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (-115/+113)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Diamondbacks: 56.8%
  • Padres: 43.2%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Diamondbacks a win probability of 56.8%, while the Padres have a win probability of 43.2%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Diamondbacks are more likely to beat the Padres in the MLB game at Petco Park on Sunday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Diamondbacks vs. Padres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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