Rays vs. Phillies: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Rays vs. Phillies MLB game on Sunday, September 27, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Rays
Nick Martinez 15-5, 2.94 ERA
3
7
Citizens Bank Park
Phillies
Zack Wheeler 13-5, 3.06 ERA
Citizens Bank Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Rays
0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 3 8 0
Phillies
1 3 0 0 3 0 0 0 X 7 12 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Rays
    0%
  • Phillies
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Nick Fortes strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Rays Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 V. Mesa LF4011002.2500.500
2 R. Vilade 1B2000000.0000.000
3 B. Williamson 3B2000000.0000.000
4 L. Hicks DH4020000.5001.500
5 R. Palacios 2B4000000.0000.000
6 J. DeLuca RF4222200.5002.500
7 C. Mullins CF4010002.2500.500
8 N. Fortes C4000002.0000.000
9 J. Mateo SS3110000.3331.000
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Turner SS5120001.4000.800
2 K. Schwarber DH4122011.5001.350
3 D. Hill RF0000000.0000.000
4 B. Stott 2B31310101.0002.667
5 A. Bohm 1B2000020.0000.500
6 B. Marsh LF2001000.0000.000
7 E. Sosa 3B4221101.5002.000
8 J. Crawford CF4010000.2500.500
9 J. Realmuto C4111001.2500.750

Rays vs. Phillies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Sunday

  • Teams: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies
  • Date: Sunday, September 27, 2026
  • Time: 2:30PM ET
  • Venue: Citizens Bank Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Rays (+1.5, -127), Phillies (-1.5, +140)
  • Moneyline: Rays +190, Phillies -170
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5 runs (+108/-105)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Rays: 37.5%
  • Phillies: 62.5%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rays a win probability of 37.5%, while the Phillies have a win probability of 62.5%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Rays in the MLB game at Citizens Bank Park on Sunday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Rays vs. Phillies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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