Cubs vs. Red Sox: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Cubs vs. Red Sox MLB game on Sunday, September 27, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Cubs
Shota Imanaga 11-10, 3.74 ERA
6
2
Tropicana Field
Red Sox
Tanner Houck 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Tropicana Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Cubs
2 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 6 13 0
Red Sox
1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 5 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cubs
    100%
  • Red Sox
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Caleb Durbin flies out to deep right field to Michael Conforto.
Quick Box Score
Cubs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Taylor CF4220001.5001.000
2 A. Bregman DH43442101.0003.750
3 G. Arias 1B1001000.0000.000
4 I. Happ LF5000003.0000.000
5 M. Conforto RF5021000.4001.000
6 M. Shaw 3B2000010.0000.333
7 P. Ramirez 2B4020001.5001.100
8 D. Swanson SS3000012.0000.250
9 M. Amaya C4120000.5001.250
Red Sox Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Duran LF2000000.0000.000
2 C. Wong C1000000.0000.000
3 J. Jones DH2000000.0000.000
4 W. Abreu RF3000011.0000.250
5 N. Eaton CF2010001.5001.000
6 N. Sogard 2B3110010.3330.833
7 C. Durbin 3B4010000.2500.500
8 T. Story SS2000000.0000.333
9 A. Monasterio 1B3001001.0000.000

Cubs vs. Red Sox: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Sunday

  • Teams: CHI Cubs Cubs vs. Boston Red Sox
  • Date: Sunday, September 27, 2026
  • Time: 3:05PM ET
  • Venue: Tropicana Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Cubs (-1.5, +156), Red Sox (+1.5, -163)
  • Moneyline: Cubs -111, Red Sox +106
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (-102/-102)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Cubs: 51.5%
  • Red Sox: 48.5%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Cubs a win probability of 51.5%, while the Red Sox have a win probability of 48.5%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Cubs are more likely to beat the Red Sox in the MLB game at Tropicana Field on Sunday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Cubs vs. Red Sox predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.