Mets vs. Nationals: MLB Prediction & Analysis
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mets | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 1 |
Nationals | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | X | 7 | 11 | 0 |
- Mets
- Nationals
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Lindor | SS | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .200 | 0.400 |
| 2 | J. Soto | LF | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .500 | 1.100 |
| 3 | B. Bichette | 3B | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .500 | 2.100 |
| 4 | B. Baty | DH | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.000 |
| 5 | C. Benge | RF | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1.000 | 3.500 |
| 6 | F. Alvarez | C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 7 | M. Semien | 2B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 8 | C. Pache | CF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 9 | C. Morel | 1B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Wood | DH | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .667 | 1.467 |
| 2 | Y. Morales | 1B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 3 | B. House | 3B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .333 | 1.167 |
| 4 | D. Crews | RF | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .333 | 1.833 |
| 5 | C. Abrams | 2B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .333 | 0.833 |
| 6 | J. Young | CF | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.000 |
| 7 | D. Lile | LF | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .667 | 1.167 |
| 8 | K. Ruiz | C | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 9 | N. Nuñez | SS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
Mets vs. Nationals: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup overview: MLB Friday
- Teams: NY Mets Mets vs. Washington Nationals
- Date: Friday, September 25, 2026
- Time: 6:45PM ET
- Venue: Nationals Park
Current betting odds
- Spread: Mets (-1.5, +163), Nationals (+1.5, -167)
- Moneyline: Mets +100, Nationals -104
- Total (Over/Under): 8 runs (-110/-110)
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Mets: 53.2%
- Nationals: 46.8%
Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mets a win probability of 53.2%, while the Nationals have a win probability of 46.8%.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Mets are more likely to beat the Nationals in the MLB game at Nationals Park on Friday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Mets vs. Nationals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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