Brewers vs. Phillies: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Brewers vs. Phillies MLB game on Thursday, September 24, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Brewers
Shane Drohan 7-5, 4.26 ERA
5
1
Citizens Bank Park
Phillies
Andrew Painter 3-10, 5.59 ERA
Citizens Bank Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Brewers
0 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 5 11 1
Phillies
0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Brewers
    100%
  • Phillies
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Brandon Marsh grounds out to shallow infield, Antonio Senzatela to Jake Bauers.
Quick Box Score
Brewers Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 G. Mitchell CF5010004.2000.400
2 B. Turang 2B5010002.2000.400
3 J. Chourio DH12111101.0005.000
4 J. Bauers 1B5121002.4001.000
5 G. Sánchez C4210012.2500.650
6 L. Lara RF5010000.2000.400
7 C. Pratt SS3021010.6671.417
8 S. Frelick LF2011020.5001.750
9 J. Ortiz 3B4011002.2500.500
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 K. Schwarber DH4120000.5001.250
2 T. Turner SS4000001.0000.000
3 B. Harper RF4021000.5001.000
4 E. Sosa 3B1000000.0000.000
5 A. Bohm 1B3000011.0000.250
6 B. De La Cruz LF3000011.0000.250
7 B. Stott 2B3000011.0000.250
8 J. Realmuto C3000011.0000.250
9 B. Marsh PH1000000.0000.000

Brewers vs. Phillies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Thursday

  • Teams: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies
  • Date: Thursday, September 24, 2026
  • Time: 6:05PM ET
  • Venue: Citizens Bank Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Brewers (+1.5, -170), Phillies (-1.5, +170)
  • Moneyline: Brewers +118, Phillies -122
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (-111/+108)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Brewers: 47.5%
  • Phillies: 52.5%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Brewers a win probability of 47.5%, while the Phillies have a win probability of 52.5%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Brewers in the MLB game at Citizens Bank Park on Thursday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Brewers vs. Phillies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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