Mets vs. Rangers: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mets vs. Rangers MLB game on Wednesday, September 23, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Mets
Nolan McLean 11-10, 3.18 ERA
7
2
Globe Life Field
Rangers
Cody Bradford 0-5, 4.19 ERA
Globe Life Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Mets
0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 4 7 8 0
Rangers
0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Mets
    100%
  • Rangers
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Ezequiel Duran hits into a force out to shortstop. Brandon Nimmo out at second.
Quick Box Score
Mets Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 F. Lindor SS5110000.2000.400
2 J. Soto DH2212100.5002.800
3 B. Bichette 3B4100010.0000.200
4 B. Baty 1B11141001.0005.000
5 C. Benge RF5000002.0000.000
6 M. Semien 2B4111100.2501.250
7 F. Alvarez C4020001.5001.000
8 A. Ewing CF3010011.3330.833
9 N. Morabito LF4110002.2500.500
Rangers Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 W. Langford LF4000002.0000.000
2 C. Seager SS4000002.0000.000
3 J. Jung DH4010000.2500.500
4 B. Nimmo RF4110001.2500.500
5 E. Duran 3B4000000.0000.000
6 J. Burger 1B3111000.3330.666
7 N. Lopez 2B3010001.3330.666
8 D. Jansen C2000010.0000.333
9 E. Carter CF3001000.0000.000

Mets vs. Rangers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Wednesday

  • Teams: NY Mets Mets vs. Texas Rangers
  • Date: Wednesday, September 23, 2026
  • Time: 8:05PM ET
  • Venue: Globe Life Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Mets (-1.5, +163), Rangers (+1.5, -163)
  • Moneyline: Mets -104, Rangers +104
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (-114/+113)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Mets: 52.0%
  • Rangers: 48.0%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mets a win probability of 52.0%, while the Rangers have a win probability of 48.0%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Mets are more likely to beat the Rangers in the MLB game at Globe Life Field on Wednesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Mets vs. Rangers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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