Padres vs. Dodgers: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Padres vs. Dodgers MLB game on Tuesday, September 22, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Padres
Michael King 12-9, 3.03 ERA
0
7
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Dodgers
Brock Stewart 1-2, 2.55 ERA
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Padres
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0
Dodgers
0 4 0 1 0 1 1 0 X 7 9 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Padres
    0%
  • Dodgers
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Luis Campusano grounds out to shallow infield to Mookie Betts.
Quick Box Score
Padres Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 F. Tatis RF4010002.2500.500
2 S. Taylor LF1000000.0000.000
3 M. Machado 3B3000011.0000.250
4 T. France 1B3000012.0000.250
5 J. Merrill CF4000001.0000.000
6 E. Salas DH2010000.5001.000
7 J. Bowen PH1000001.0000.000
8 L. Campusano C4020000.5001.000
9 J. Cronenworth 2B3000001.0000.000
Dodgers Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 M. Betts SS4111010.2500.900
2 F. Freeman 1B4023002.5001.000
3 W. Smith C4111102.2501.250
4 M. Muncy 3B4000001.0000.000
5 K. Tucker RF4010000.2500.500
6 T. Hernández LF4110001.2500.500
7 J. De Paula DH3120011.6672.083
8 A. Pages CF2100010.0000.500
9 T. Edman 2B3212111.3331.833

Padres vs. Dodgers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Tuesday

  • Teams: San Diego Padres vs. LA Dodgers Dodgers
  • Date: Tuesday, September 22, 2026
  • Time: 10:10PM ET
  • Venue: UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Padres (+1.5, -178), Dodgers (-1.5, +170)
  • Moneyline: Padres +113, Dodgers -115
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (+102/-104)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Padres: 41.3%
  • Dodgers: 58.7%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Padres a win probability of 41.3%, while the Dodgers have a win probability of 58.7%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Dodgers are more likely to beat the Padres in the MLB game at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium on Tuesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Padres vs. Dodgers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.