Brewers vs. Pirates: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Brewers vs. Pirates MLB game on Wednesday, September 16, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Brewers
Logan Henderson 10-3, 2.34 ERA
5
4
PNC Park
Pirates
Jared Jones 4-6, 4.10 ERA
PNC Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Brewers
0 2 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 5 10 0
Pirates
0 0 0 1 2 1 0 0 0 4 12 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Brewers
    100%
  • Pirates
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Konnor Griffin grounds out to shallow infield, Brice Turang to Jake Bauers.
Quick Box Score
Brewers Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 B. Turang 2B4011011.2500.900
2 J. Chourio LF5110001.2000.400
3 J. Bauers 1B3110022.3331.267
4 W. Contreras C5010001.2000.400
5 C. Yelich DH5012002.2000.400
6 J. Ortiz 3B4110003.2500.500
7 L. Lara CF4110001.2500.500
8 S. Frelick RF2000000.0000.000
9 C. Pratt SS4121000.5001.000
Pirates Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 K. Griffin SS5120001.4001.000
2 B. Lowe 2B3122111.6672.417
3 B. Reynolds DH4000002.0000.000
4 O. Cruz CF4121102.5001.750
5 R. Flores C4111102.2501.250
6 B. Cook RF0000000.0000.000
7 N. Gonzales 3B0000000.0000.000
8 S. Horwitz PH1000001.0000.000
9 J. Mangum LF4010001.2500.500

Brewers vs. Pirates: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Wednesday

  • Teams: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
  • Date: Wednesday, September 16, 2026
  • Time: 6:40PM ET
  • Venue: PNC Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Brewers (-1.5, +138), Pirates (+1.5, -141)
  • Moneyline: Brewers -122, Pirates +122
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (+104/-104)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Brewers: 52.1%
  • Pirates: 47.9%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Brewers a win probability of 52.1%, while the Pirates have a win probability of 47.9%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Brewers are more likely to beat the Pirates in the MLB game at PNC Park on Wednesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Brewers vs. Pirates predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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