Mets vs. Yankees: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mets vs. Yankees MLB game on Saturday, September 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Mets
Zac Thornton 3-5, 3.53 ERA
12
2
Yankee Stadium
Yankees
Gerrit Cole 8-8, 3.41 ERA
Yankee Stadium
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Mets
1 2 1 0 1 0 1 5 1 12 14 0
Yankees
0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 7 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Mets
    100%
  • Yankees
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
George Lombard strikes out on a foul tip.
Quick Box Score
Mets Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 F. Lindor SS5235201.6002.400
2 J. Soto DH5221101.4001.600
3 B. Bichette 3B5000001.0000.000
4 C. Benge RF5122101.4001.400
5 J. Young 1B5231100.6001.800
6 M. Semien 2B5110000.2000.400
7 A. Ewing CF3100012.0000.250
8 L. Torrens C4223101.5002.000
9 N. Morabito LF3110010.3330.833
Yankees Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 P. Goldschmidt 1B4110000.2500.750
2 A. Judge DH4000001.0000.000
3 C. Bellinger LF4122100.5001.750
4 H. Ramos RF4010002.2500.500
5 A. Rosario 3B4000000.0000.000
6 S. Jones CF4020002.5001.000
7 G. Lombard SS3000011.0000.250
8 A. Volpe 2B3000000.0000.000
9 A. Sánchez C10100001.0002.000

Mets vs. Yankees: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Saturday

  • Teams: NY Mets Mets vs. NY Yankees Yankees
  • Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026
  • Time: 1:35PM ET
  • Venue: Yankee Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Mets (+1.5, -140), Yankees (-1.5, +138)
  • Moneyline: Mets +144, Yankees -147
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (+113/-117)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Mets: 41.5%
  • Yankees: 58.5%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mets a win probability of 41.5%, while the Yankees have a win probability of 58.5%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Yankees are more likely to beat the Mets in the MLB game at Yankee Stadium on Saturday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Mets vs. Yankees predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.