Pirates vs. Cubs: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pirates vs. Cubs MLB game on Saturday, September 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Pirates
Paul Skenes 10-11, 3.83 ERA
3
4
Wrigley Field
Cubs
Clay Holmes 6-7, 2.83 ERA
Wrigley Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Pirates
0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 3 6 0
Cubs
1 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 X 4 5 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pirates
    0%
  • Cubs
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Bryan Reynolds called out on strikes.
Quick Box Score
Pirates Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 O. Cruz CF5000001.0000.000
2 B. Lowe 2B4110011.2500.650
3 B. Reynolds LF5110002.2000.400
4 K. Griffin SS4000001.0000.000
5 R. O'Hearn DH4113101.2501.250
6 S. Horwitz 1B3010011.3330.833
7 J. Mangum RF4000001.0000.000
8 J. Triolo 3B1000000.0000.000
9 R. Flores PH10100001.0002.000
Cubs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 P. Crow-Armstrong CF4000002.0000.000
2 A. Bregman 3B2110000.5001.250
3 B. Murray 1B0000000.0000.000
4 M. Shaw RF0001010.0001.000
5 N. Hoerner SS3011000.3330.833
6 M. Conforto DH4000002.0000.000
7 C. Kelly C3000000.0000.000
8 P. Ramirez 2B3221100.6672.667
9 T. Taylor LF3000001.0000.000

Pirates vs. Cubs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Saturday

  • Teams: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. CHI Cubs Cubs
  • Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026
  • Time: 2:20PM ET
  • Venue: Wrigley Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Pirates (+1.5, -170), Cubs (-1.5, +170)
  • Moneyline: Pirates +115, Cubs -117
  • Total (Over/Under): 9.5 runs (+100/+102)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Pirates: 47.9%
  • Cubs: 52.1%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pirates a win probability of 47.9%, while the Cubs have a win probability of 52.1%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Cubs are more likely to beat the Pirates in the MLB game at Wrigley Field on Saturday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Pirates vs. Cubs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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