D-Backs vs. Mets Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the D-Backs vs. Mets MLB game on April 9, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
D-Backs
Eduardo Rodriguez 0-0, 0.00 ERA
7
1
Citi Field
Mets
Nolan McLean 1-0, 2.61 ERA
Citi Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
D-Backs
0 0 0 0 0 0 4 3 0 7 8 0
Mets
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 6 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • D-Backs
    100%
  • Mets
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Luis Torrens grounds out to shortstop, Geraldo Perdomo to Ildemaro Vargas.
Quick Box Score
D-Backs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 K. Marte 2B5000001.0000.000
2 I. Vargas 1B4110011.2500.900
3 G. Perdomo SS2200020.0000.500
4 A. Del Castillo DH4111002.2500.750
5 J. Fernandez 3B4121000.5001.250
6 G. Moreno C21220001.0003.000
7 A. Thomas CF4101001.0000.000
8 T. Tawa LF3011001.3330.583
9 J. Barrosa RF4011001.2501.000
Mets Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 F. Lindor SS4010000.2500.500
2 B. Bichette 3B3010010.3330.833
3 L. Robert CF3111112.3331.833
4 M. Vientos 1B4000001.0000.000
5 M. Semien 2B4010001.2500.500
6 F. Alvarez DH4000001.0000.000
7 B. Baty RF4010001.2500.500
8 L. Torrens C4000000.0000.000
9 J. Young LF1000000.0000.000

D-Backs vs. Mets: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: D-Backs vs. Mets
  • Date: Thursday, April 9, 2026
  • Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Citi Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Mets favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: D-Backs 37¢, Mets 63¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • D-Backs: 40%
  • Mets: 60%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the D-Backs a win probability of 40%, while the Mets have a win probability of 60%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Mets are more likely to beat the D-Backs in the MLB game at Citi Field on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our D-Backs vs. Mets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.