Reds vs. Diamondbacks: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Reds vs. Diamondbacks MLB game on Sunday, August 23, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Reds
Andrew Abbott 6-8, 4.07 ERA
3
5
Chase Field
D-Backs
Mitch Bratt 1-2, 4.17 ERA
Chase Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Reds
0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 8 0
D-Backs
0 0 0 0 0 1 4 0 X 5 8 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Reds
    0%
  • D-Backs
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Tyler Stephenson called out on strikes.
Quick Box Score
Reds Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 E. De La Cruz SS5110002.2000.600
2 S. Stewart 1B5121002.4000.800
3 D. Myers CF4120011.5001.350
4 T. Stephenson DH4010012.2500.650
5 E. Suárez 3B2012010.5001.250
6 M. McLain 2B3000012.0000.250
7 J. Bleday LF3000011.0000.250
8 J. Trevino C1000000.0000.000
9 H. Rodríguez RF4010001.2500.750
D-Backs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 I. Vargas 2B4122000.5001.750
2 C. Carroll RF3121001.6672.167
3 G. Moreno DH1001020.0000.500
4 G. Perdomo SS3010010.3330.833
5 N. Arenado 3B4000002.0000.000
6 T. Tawa 1B4120000.5001.000
7 J. Lawlar LF3110001.3330.666
8 J. McCann C3100011.0000.250
9 J. Barrosa CF0000000.0000.000

Reds vs. Diamondbacks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Sunday

  • Teams: Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
  • Date: Sunday, August 23, 2026
  • Time: 4:15PM ET
  • Venue: Chase Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Reds (+1.5, -156), Diamondbacks (-1.5, +153)
  • Moneyline: Reds +133, Diamondbacks -133
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (-115/+113)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Reds: 42.0%
  • Diamondbacks: 58.0%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Reds a win probability of 42.0%, while the Diamondbacks have a win probability of 58.0%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Diamondbacks are more likely to beat the Reds in the MLB game at Chase Field on Sunday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Reds vs. Diamondbacks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.