Cardinals vs. Reds: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Cardinals vs. Reds MLB game on Thursday, August 20, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Cardinals
Michael McGreevy 5-9, 3.48 ERA
10
9
Great American Ball Park
Reds
Brady Singer 5-11, 4.66 ERA
Great American Ball Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Cardinals
1 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 6 10 8 0
Reds
0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 4 9 7 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cardinals
    100%
  • Reds
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Matt McLain lines out to deep right field to Jordan Walker.
Quick Box Score
Cardinals Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Wetherholt 2B4310000.2500.650
2 I. Herrera DH3210010.3330.933
3 A. Burleson 1B4111001.2500.650
4 J. Walker RF4214111.2501.400
5 P. Pagés C0000000.0000.000
6 J. Fermín LF21220001.0002.000
7 M. Winn SS1100001.0000.000
8 B. Jordan 3B4000000.0000.000
9 E. Pereira CF1000001.0000.000
Reds Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 E. De La Cruz DH3110021.3330.933
2 S. Stewart 2B4112011.2500.650
3 J. Bleday RF3111021.3330.933
4 T. Stephenson C4001012.0000.200
5 M. McLain SS4214110.2501.400
6 M. Toglia 1B4000002.0000.000
7 D. Myers CF3100010.0000.250
8 T. Friedl LF1000001.0000.000
9 E. Suárez PH11110001.0002.000

Cardinals vs. Reds: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Thursday

  • Teams: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds
  • Date: Thursday, August 20, 2026
  • Time: 12:40PM ET
  • Venue: Great American Ball Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Cardinals (-1.5, +150), Reds (+1.5, -156)
  • Moneyline: Cardinals -104, Reds +104
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (-120/+117)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Cardinals: 49.0%
  • Reds: 51.0%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Cardinals a win probability of 49.0%, while the Reds have a win probability of 51.0%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Reds are more likely to beat the Cardinals in the MLB game at Great American Ball Park on Thursday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Cardinals vs. Reds predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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