Brewers vs. Padres: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Brewers vs. Padres MLB game on Tuesday, August 11, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Brewers
Kyle Harrison 9-2, 2.84 ERA
2
11
Petco Park
Padres
Walker Buehler 6-5, 5.07 ERA
Petco Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Brewers
0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 7 2
Padres
0 5 0 1 2 3 0 0 X 11 17 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Brewers
    0%
  • Padres
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Brandon Lockridge grounds out to shallow infield, Luis Campusano to Ty France.
Quick Box Score
Brewers Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 B. Turang 2B5011001.2000.600
2 B. Lockridge LF3010000.3330.666
3 G. Mitchell CF3010011.3330.833
4 J. Bauers 1B3000011.0000.250
5 W. Contreras C3000010.0000.250
6 G. Sánchez P1000001.0000.000
7 L. Lara RF4110001.2500.500
8 D. Hamilton SS4110000.2500.500
9 A. Vaughn 3B20200001.0002.500
Padres Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 G. Sheets RF1000000.0000.000
2 L. Rengifo DH5124100.4001.400
3 S. Song 3B1000001.0000.000
4 T. France 1B5120001.4000.800
5 J. Bowen CF1000000.0000.000
6 A. Hays LF5221000.4000.800
7 L. Campusano C4233110.7502.300
8 X. Bogaerts SS4010011.2500.650
9 J. Cronenworth 2B4111001.2500.750

Brewers vs. Padres: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Tuesday

  • Teams: Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres
  • Date: Tuesday, August 11, 2026
  • Time: 9:40PM ET
  • Venue: Petco Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Brewers (-1.5, +144), Padres (+1.5, -147)
  • Moneyline: Brewers -120, Padres +118
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (+106/-104)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Brewers: 51.6%
  • Padres: 48.4%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Brewers a win probability of 51.6%, while the Padres have a win probability of 48.4%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Brewers are more likely to beat the Padres in the MLB game at Petco Park on Tuesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Brewers vs. Padres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.