Phillies vs. Cardinals: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Phillies vs. Cardinals MLB game on Monday, August 10, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Phillies
Andrew Painter 1-8, 6.48 ERA
6
5
Busch Stadium
Cardinals
Hunter Dobbins 2-2, 3.60 ERA
Busch Stadium
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Phillies
0 2 0 0 1 0 1 2 0 6 8 0
Cardinals
0 0 0 0 0 2 0 3 0 5 8 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Phillies
    100%
  • Cardinals
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Alec Burleson lines out to deep right field to Derek Hill.
Quick Box Score
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 A. Bohm 1B0000000.0000.000
2 B. Stott 3B4020011.5001.100
3 B. Harper DH3000021.0000.400
4 L. Arraez 2B5000000.0000.000
5 B. Marsh LF4210013.2500.650
6 D. Hill RF4100002.0000.000
7 J. Crawford CF4110001.2500.750
8 E. Sosa SS3023001.6671.750
9 G. Stubbs C3100011.0000.250
Cardinals Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Wetherholt 2B4100012.0000.200
2 I. Herrera DH5220000.4001.200
3 A. Burleson 1B4123011.5001.350
4 J. Walker RF4110003.2500.500
5 N. Church CF4010000.2500.500
6 M. Winn SS4011002.2500.750
7 J. Fermín 3B2011020.5001.250
8 J. Crooks C4000002.0000.000
9 B. Torres LF1000000.0000.000

Phillies vs. Cardinals: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Monday

  • Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals
  • Date: Monday, August 10, 2026
  • Time: 7:45PM ET
  • Venue: Busch Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Phillies (-1.5, +147), Cardinals (+1.5, -150)
  • Moneyline: Phillies -111, Cardinals +108
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (-122/+122)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Phillies: 52.0%
  • Cardinals: 48.0%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Phillies a win probability of 52.0%, while the Cardinals have a win probability of 48.0%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Cardinals in the MLB game at Busch Stadium on Monday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Phillies vs. Cardinals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.