Reds vs. Nationals: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Reds vs. Nationals MLB game on Sunday, August 9, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
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MLB
Reds
Brady Singer 5-10, 4.67 ERA
1
7
Nationals Park
Nationals
Brad Lord 5-2, 3.81 ERA
Nationals Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Reds
0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 1
Nationals
0 2 1 0 0 0 1 3 X 7 13 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Reds
    0%
  • Nationals
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Tyler Stephenson strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Reds Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 E. De La Cruz SS4000001.0000.000
2 S. Stewart 1B4010002.2500.500
3 J. Bleday LF4010002.2500.750
4 T. Stephenson C4110002.2500.500
5 E. Suárez DH2000000.0000.333
6 H. Rodríguez RF3000000.0000.000
7 D. Myers CF2001001.0000.000
8 M. McLain 2B3010001.3330.666
9 I. Johnson 3B0000000.0000.000
Nationals Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 C. Abrams SS5110001.2000.400
2 A. Chaparro 1B2012001.5001.500
3 B. House 3B2000001.0000.000
4 D. Lile LF4021001.5001.000
5 D. Crews RF4110001.2500.500
6 J. Bird P0000000.0000.000
7 N. Nuñez 2B4010001.2500.500
8 K. Ruiz C31310001.0002.000
9 J. Young CF3102000.0000.000

Reds vs. Nationals: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Sunday

  • Teams: Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals
  • Date: Sunday, August 9, 2026
  • Time: 12:15PM ET
  • Venue: Nationals Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Reds (-1.5, +170), Nationals (+1.5, -170)
  • Moneyline: Reds +108, Nationals -105
  • Total (Over/Under): 9.5 runs (+117/-117)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Reds: 51.0%
  • Nationals: 49.0%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Reds a win probability of 51.0%, while the Nationals have a win probability of 49.0%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Reds are more likely to beat the Nationals in the MLB game at Nationals Park on Sunday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Reds vs. Nationals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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