Blue Jays vs. Phillies: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Blue Jays vs. Phillies MLB game on Sunday, August 9, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Blue Jays
Shane Bieber 3-2, 5.11 ERA
6
7
Citizens Bank Park
Phillies
Jesús Luzardo 10-5, 3.36 ERA
Citizens Bank Park
4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 RHE
Blue Jays
1 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 1 6 10 0
Phillies
0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 7 10 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Blue Jays
    0%
  • Phillies
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Derek Hill singles to center field. Alec Bohm to second. Bryson Stott to third. J.T. Realmuto scores.
Quick Box Score
Blue Jays Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 B. Bateman CF6021002.3330.666
2 J. Sánchez DH1000000.0000.000
3 A. Kirk C6121001.3330.666
4 K. Okamoto 1B4110011.2500.650
5 E. Clement 2B5111001.2000.600
6 A. Giménez SS5012003.2000.400
7 M. Straw LF5110002.2000.400
8 J. Smith 3B3000012.0000.250
9 N. Lukes RF2110000.5001.000
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 G. Stubbs DH0000000.0000.000
2 T. Turner SS6000003.0000.000
3 B. Harper RF2000042.0000.667
4 L. Arraez 2B6100001.0000.000
5 J. Realmuto C6110001.1670.334
6 B. Stott 3B4121010.5001.100
7 B. Marsh LF5010001.2000.533
8 A. Bohm 1B4121010.5001.167
9 D. Hill CF4011001.2500.500

Blue Jays vs. Phillies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Sunday

  • Teams: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies
  • Date: Sunday, August 9, 2026
  • Time: 1:35PM ET
  • Venue: Citizens Bank Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Blue Jays (+1.5, +108), Phillies (-1.5, -106)
  • Moneyline: Blue Jays +217, Phillies -213
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (+102/-104)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Blue Jays: 36.0%
  • Phillies: 64.0%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Blue Jays a win probability of 36.0%, while the Phillies have a win probability of 64.0%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Blue Jays in the MLB game at Citizens Bank Park on Sunday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Blue Jays vs. Phillies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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