Pirates vs. Brewers: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pirates vs. Brewers MLB game on Thursday, August 6, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Pirates
Braxton Ashcraft 11-4, 3.96 ERA
2
5
American Family Field
Brewers
Dustin May 5-7, 4.38 ERA
American Family Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Pirates
0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 6 0
Brewers
1 0 1 0 2 1 0 0 X 5 7 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pirates
    0%
  • Brewers
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Ronny Simon grounds out to second base. Nick Gonzales out at second.
Quick Box Score
Pirates Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Mangum CF3010010.3331.167
2 B. Lowe 2B3111112.3331.833
3 B. Reynolds LF3100013.0000.250
4 E. Rodríguez DH4010002.2500.500
5 S. Horwitz 1B3011010.3330.833
6 N. Gonzales 3B3020000.6671.417
7 R. Simon RF4000000.0000.000
8 J. Triolo SS1000000.0000.000
9 H. Davis C3000001.0000.000
Brewers Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 B. Turang 2B4011000.2500.500
2 J. Chourio LF3111110.3331.833
3 G. Mitchell CF4110001.2500.750
4 A. Vaughn 1B4011002.2500.500
5 C. Yelich DH4000002.0000.000
6 L. Lara RF3000003.0000.000
7 G. Sánchez C3121100.6672.334
8 D. Hamilton 3B2100012.0000.333
9 C. Pratt SS2111000.5001.333

Pirates vs. Brewers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Thursday

  • Teams: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers
  • Date: Thursday, August 6, 2026
  • Time: 2:10PM ET
  • Venue: American Family Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Pirates (+1.5, -186), Brewers (-1.5, +180)
  • Moneyline: Pirates +121, Brewers -117
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (+111/-105)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Pirates: 46.9%
  • Brewers: 53.1%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pirates a win probability of 46.9%, while the Brewers have a win probability of 53.1%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Brewers are more likely to beat the Pirates in the MLB game at American Family Field on Thursday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Pirates vs. Brewers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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