Padres vs. Diamondbacks: MLB Prediction & Analysis
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Padres | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
D-Backs | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | X | 10 | 15 | 0 |
- Padres
- D-Backs
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Tatis | 2B | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .250 | 1.250 |
| 2 | G. Sheets | PH | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 3 | S. Song | SS | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | 1.000 |
| 4 | T. France | 1B | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 5 | J. Merrill | CF | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 6 | G. Workman | 3B | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 | 3.000 |
| 7 | L. Campusano | C | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 8 | J. Cronenworth | DH | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 9 | J. Bowen | RF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 0.000 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Nootbaar | LF | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .250 | 0.650 |
| 2 | J. Barrosa | RF | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.000 |
| 3 | G. Perdomo | SS | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .200 | 0.400 |
| 4 | G. Moreno | DH | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | .000 | 0.400 |
| 5 | T. Tawa | 3B | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .750 | 2.100 |
| 6 | I. Vargas | 2B | 5 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .400 | 1.400 |
| 7 | J. McCann | C | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 8 | T. Locklear | 1B | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .500 | 1.250 |
| 9 | R. Waldschmidt | CF | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .750 | 1.500 |
Padres vs. Diamondbacks: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup overview: MLB Wednesday
- Teams: San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
- Date: Wednesday, August 5, 2026
- Time: 9:40PM ET
- Venue: Chase Field
Current betting odds
- Spread: Padres (-1.5, +125), Diamondbacks (+1.5, -127)
- Moneyline: Padres -128, Diamondbacks +127
- Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (-104/+104)
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Padres: 52.9%
- Diamondbacks: 47.1%
Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Padres a win probability of 52.9%, while the Diamondbacks have a win probability of 47.1%.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Padres are more likely to beat the Diamondbacks in the MLB game at Chase Field on Wednesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Padres vs. Diamondbacks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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