Nationals vs. Phillies: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nationals vs. Phillies MLB game on Monday, August 3, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
MLB sport icon
MLB
Nationals
Andrew Alvarez 2-3, 4.06 ERA
3
6
Citizens Bank Park
Phillies
Aaron Nola 3-9, 5.61 ERA
Citizens Bank Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Nationals
1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 6 0
Phillies
0 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 X 6 5 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Nationals
    0%
  • Phillies
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Jacob Young called out on strikes.
Quick Box Score
Nationals Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 D. Crews RF0000000.0000.000
2 A. Chaparro 1B1000001.0000.000
3 J. Tena DH3000010.0000.250
4 C. Abrams SS4000003.0000.000
5 K. Ruiz C4120001.5001.000
6 D. Lile LF4112100.2501.250
7 N. Nuñez 2B4000002.0000.000
8 B. House 3B1000000.0000.500
9 J. Young CF3010012.3330.833
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Turner SS4000001.0000.000
2 J. Crawford DH0100000.0000.000
3 B. Harper 1B4112101.2501.250
4 A. Bohm 3B4010000.2500.500
5 B. De La Cruz RF1100010.0000.750
6 B. Stott 2B3110010.3330.833
7 B. Marsh LF1000000.0000.000
8 D. Hill CF3114100.3331.666
9 G. Stubbs C3000001.0000.000

Nationals vs. Phillies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Monday

  • Teams: Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies
  • Date: Monday, August 3, 2026
  • Time: 6:40PM ET
  • Venue: Citizens Bank Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Nationals (+1.5, -133), Phillies (-1.5, +141)
  • Moneyline: Nationals +156, Phillies -144
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (-117/+127)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Nationals: 39.6%
  • Phillies: 60.4%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nationals a win probability of 39.6%, while the Phillies have a win probability of 60.4%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Nationals in the MLB game at Citizens Bank Park on Monday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Nationals vs. Phillies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.