Giants vs. Padres: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Giants vs. Padres MLB game on Sunday, August 2, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
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MLB
Giants
Landen Roupp 7-9, 4.12 ERA
4
5
Petco Park
Padres
Kyle Hart 0-2, 4.87 ERA
Petco Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Giants
0 0 0 2 1 0 0 1 0 4 7 2
Padres
0 4 0 0 1 0 0 0 X 5 8 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Giants
    0%
  • Padres
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Luis Arraez flies out to deep left center field to Jackson Merrill.
Quick Box Score
Giants Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 L. Arraez 2B5000000.0000.000
2 B. Eldridge DH4110001.2500.500
3 H. Ramos LF4010001.2500.500
4 R. Devers 1B3211111.3331.833
5 J. H. Lee RF3020000.6671.750
6 W. Adames SS4011001.2500.500
7 C. Koss PH1000001.0000.000
8 D. Susac PH1000001.0000.000
9 G. McCray PR0000000.0000.000
Padres Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 L. Rengifo LF3010010.3330.933
2 J. Cronenworth 2B5012002.2000.400
3 M. Machado DH4000002.0000.000
4 T. France 1B4220000.5001.000
5 J. Merrill CF3122110.6672.417
6 L. Campusano C4011002.2500.500
7 J. Bowen RF1000000.0000.000
8 X. Bogaerts SS2100021.0000.500
9 S. Song 3B4000002.0000.000

Giants vs. Padres: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Sunday

  • Teams: San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres
  • Date: Sunday, August 2, 2026
  • Time: 4:10PM ET
  • Venue: Petco Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Giants (+1.5, -178), Padres (-1.5, +175)
  • Moneyline: Giants +117, Padres -120
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (-113/+110)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Giants: 42.0%
  • Padres: 58.0%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Giants a win probability of 42.0%, while the Padres have a win probability of 58.0%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Padres are more likely to beat the Giants in the MLB game at Petco Park on Sunday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Giants vs. Padres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.