Diamondbacks vs. Guardians: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Diamondbacks vs. Guardians MLB game on Sunday, August 2, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
D-Backs
Merrill Kelly 8-8, 4.86 ERA
0
5
Progressive Field
Guardians
Gavin Williams 10-6, 3.71 ERA
Progressive Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
D-Backs
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0
Guardians
0 0 2 0 3 0 0 0 X 5 8 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • D-Backs
    0%
  • Guardians
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Adrian Del Castillo grounds out to first base to Kyle Manzardo.
Quick Box Score
D-Backs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 C. Carroll RF3000013.0000.250
2 G. Perdomo SS3010010.3330.833
3 G. Moreno C4000001.0000.000
4 K. Marte DH4000001.0000.000
5 M. Kepler LF3000012.0000.250
6 N. Arenado 3B2000011.0000.500
7 T. Tawa CF4010002.2500.500
8 I. Vargas 2B4000002.0000.000
9 A. Del Castillo PH1000000.0000.000
Guardians Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 S. Kwan LF2110020.5001.250
2 J. Ramírez DH4110000.2500.500
3 A. Martínez RF0000000.0000.000
4 T. Bazzana 2B2010020.5001.250
5 K. Manzardo 1B4011002.2500.500
6 B. Rocchio SS4000001.0000.000
7 G. Arias 3B4000003.0000.000
8 P. Bailey C3111101.3331.666
9 P. Halpin CF3110000.3330.666

Diamondbacks vs. Guardians: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Sunday

  • Teams: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians
  • Date: Sunday, August 2, 2026
  • Time: 1:40PM ET
  • Venue: Progressive Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Diamondbacks (+1.5, -133), Guardians (-1.5, +133)
  • Moneyline: Diamondbacks +174, Guardians -170
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (-104/+104)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Diamondbacks: 41.1%
  • Guardians: 58.9%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Diamondbacks a win probability of 41.1%, while the Guardians have a win probability of 58.9%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Guardians are more likely to beat the Diamondbacks in the MLB game at Progressive Field on Sunday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Diamondbacks vs. Guardians predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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