Phillies vs. Orioles Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Phillies vs. Orioles MLB game on August 2, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Phillies
Zack Wheeler 10-2, 2.53 ERA
8
0
Aug 2, 1:35 PM ET Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Orioles
Kyle Bradish 7-9, 3.74 ERA
Aug 2, 1:35 PM ET Oriole Park at Camden Yards
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Phillies
0 0 2 2 1 3 8 9 0
Orioles
0 0 0 0 0 X 0 4 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Phillies
    100%
  • Orioles
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Alec Bohm hits into a force out to shallow infield. Bryce Harper out at second.
Quick Box Score
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Turner SS3010010.3330.833
2 K. Schwarber DH2001012.0000.250
3 B. Harper 1B3111112.3331.833
4 A. Bohm 3B4120000.5001.000
5 B. Marsh LF3110000.3330.666
6 J. Realmuto C2110010.5001.167
7 B. Stott 2B1101020.0000.667
8 J. Crawford CF3222000.6671.667
9 B. De La Cruz RF2113100.5002.333
Orioles Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 D. Beavers LF3010002.3330.666
2 P. Alonso 1B2010000.5001.000
3 G. Henderson SS2000000.0000.000
4 T. Ward DH2010001.5001.000
5 J. Holliday 2B2000002.0000.000
6 C. Encarnacion-Strand 3B2000000.0000.000
7 L. Taveras RF2000001.0000.000
8 C. Cowser CF2000001.0000.000
9 J. Rogers C10100101.0002.000

Phillies vs. Orioles: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Phillies vs. Orioles
  • Date: Sunday, August 2, 2026
  • Time: 1:35 PM ET
  • Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Phillies favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Phillies -133, Orioles +11011

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Phillies: 57%
  • Orioles: 43%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Phillies a win probability of 57%, while the Orioles have a win probability of 43%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Orioles in the MLB game at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Phillies vs. Orioles predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.