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Marlins vs. Mets Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Marlins vs. Mets MLB game on July 31, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB
Marlins
Janson Junk 4-6, 4.89 ERA
5
2
Jul 31, 7:10 PM ET Citi Field
Mets
Kodai Senga 0-7, 8.85 ERA
Jul 31, 7:10 PM ET Citi Field
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Marlins | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
Mets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
- Marlins
- Mets
Win Probability
Last At Bat
Outs
Francisco Alvarez flies out to deep center field to Jakob Marsee.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Hicks | DH | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 2 | X. Edwards | 2B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 3 | O. Lopez | SS | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 4 | K. Stowers | 1B | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 2.000 |
| 5 | E. Ruiz | RF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 6 | H. Hernández | LF | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 7 | J. Marsee | CF | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 0.750 |
| 8 | J. Mack | C | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .500 | 1.250 |
| 9 | J. Sanoja | 3B | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | 0.666 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Ewing | LF | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 2 | F. Lindor | SS | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .667 | 2.417 |
| 3 | B. Bichette | 3B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 4 | C. Benge | RF | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .750 | 1.750 |
| 5 | L. Robert | CF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 6 | J. Young | 1B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 7 | M. Semien | 2B | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 8 | J. Polanco | DH | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 9 | F. Alvarez | C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | 0.250 |
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Marlins vs. Mets: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Marlins vs. Mets
- Date: Friday, July 31, 2026
- Time: 7:10 PM ET
- Venue: Citi Field
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Mets favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 8.5
- Moneyline Odds: Marlins +108, Mets -108
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Marlins: 44%
- Mets: 56%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Marlins a win probability of 44%, while the Mets have a win probability of 56%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Mets are more likely to beat the Marlins in the MLB game at Citi Field on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Marlins vs. Mets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.