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Pirates vs. Reds Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pirates vs. Reds MLB game on July 30, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB
Pirates
Yohan Ramírez 6-3, 3.21 ERA
2
3
Jul 30, 7:10 PM ET Great American Ball Park
Reds
Rhett Lowder 3-7, 5.61 ERA
Jul 30, 7:10 PM ET Great American Ball Park
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pirates | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
Reds | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
- Pirates
- Reds
Win Probability
Last At Bat
Outs
Nathaniel Lowe hits into a force out to shallow infield. Tyler Stephenson out at second. Sal Stewart to third. Elly De La Cruz scores.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Mangum | LF | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 0.650 |
| 2 | B. Lowe | 2B | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .250 | 1.250 |
| 3 | B. Reynolds | DH | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 4 | B. Cook | CF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 5 | R. O'Hearn | 1B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 6 | N. Gonzales | 3B | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.250 |
| 7 | E. Rodríguez | C | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .333 | 0.833 |
| 8 | J. Triolo | SS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | 0.500 |
| 9 | J. Garcia | RF | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .250 | 0.500 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. De La Cruz | SS | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .750 | 2.300 |
| 2 | S. Stewart | 1B | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 0.933 |
| 3 | J. Bleday | LF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | .000 | 0.200 |
| 4 | T. Stephenson | C | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | .500 | 1.300 |
| 5 | N. Lowe | DH | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .250 | 0.900 |
| 6 | E. Suárez | 3B | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 7 | D. Myers | CF | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .500 | 1.000 |
| 8 | N. Marte | RF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 9 | M. McLain | 2B | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .250 | 0.500 |
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Pirates vs. Reds: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Pirates vs. Reds
- Date: Thursday, July 30, 2026
- Time: 7:10 PM ET
- Venue: Great American Ball Park
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Pirates favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 9.5
- Moneyline Odds: Pirates -111, Reds +108
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Pirates: 50%
- Reds: 50%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pirates a win probability of 50%, while the Reds have a win probability of 50%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Reds are more likely to beat the Pirates in the MLB game at Great American Ball Park on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Pirates vs. Reds predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.