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Blue Jays vs. Nationals Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Blue Jays vs. Nationals MLB game on July 28, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB
Blue Jays
Shane Bieber 2-1, 4.70 ERA
6
8
Jul 28, 6:45 PM ET Nationals Park
Nationals
Cade Cavalli 7-4, 3.58 ERA
Jul 28, 6:45 PM ET Nationals Park
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Blue Jays | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 2 |
Nationals | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | X | 8 | 8 | 2 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
- Blue Jays
- Nationals
Win Probability
Last At Bat
Outs
Myles Straw lines out to second base to Nasim Nuñez.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Straw | LF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 2 | N. Lukes | RF | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.000 |
| 3 | K. Okamoto | 1B | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 2.500 |
| 4 | G. Springer | DH | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .333 | 1.833 |
| 5 | B. Valenzuela | C | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 6 | D. Varsho | CF | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 0.750 |
| 7 | E. Clement | 3B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 8 | A. Giménez | SS | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 9 | L. Urías | 2B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Wood | DH | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | 0.200 |
| 2 | L. García | 1B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .400 | 1.400 |
| 3 | D. Crews | RF | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | .250 | 1.400 |
| 4 | C. Abrams | SS | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .200 | 0.400 |
| 5 | K. Ruiz | C | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .250 | 0.650 |
| 6 | D. Lile | LF | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .333 | 0.833 |
| 7 | N. Nuñez | 2B | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 8 | B. House | 3B | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .667 | 1.334 |
| 9 | J. Young | CF | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | .000 | 0.750 |
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Blue Jays vs. Nationals: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Blue Jays vs. Nationals
- Date: Tuesday, July 28, 2026
- Time: 6:45 PM ET
- Venue: Nationals Park
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Nationals favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 8.5
- Moneyline Odds: Blue Jays +127, Nationals -133
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Blue Jays: 48%
- Nationals: 52%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Blue Jays a win probability of 48%, while the Nationals have a win probability of 52%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Nationals are more likely to beat the Blue Jays in the MLB game at Nationals Park on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Blue Jays vs. Nationals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.