Cubs vs. Cardinals: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Cubs vs. Cardinals MLB game on Tuesday, July 28, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
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MLB sport icon
MLB
Cubs
Colin Rea 7-7, 4.86 ERA
10
2
Busch Stadium
Cardinals
Michael McGreevy 4-8, 3.07 ERA
Busch Stadium
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Cubs
2 5 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 10 17 0
Cardinals
0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 7 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cubs
    100%
  • Cardinals
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Jimmy Crooks grounds out to shortstop, Alex Bregman to Michael Busch.
Quick Box Score
Cubs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Triantos 2B1000000.0000.000
2 S. Suzuki RF5232002.6001.400
3 M. Busch 1B5111000.2000.400
4 A. Bregman 3B5230001.6001.400
5 I. Happ DH4122011.5001.600
6 N. Hoerner SS4112011.2500.650
7 J. Dean CF10100001.0002.000
8 C. Kelly C4111010.2500.650
9 P. Ramirez LF5131001.6001.400
Cardinals Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 B. Torres 2B10100001.0002.000
2 B. Jordan 1B1000000.0000.000
3 N. Velázquez RF10100001.0002.000
4 I. Herrera DH4000001.0000.000
5 L. Nootbaar LF3110010.3330.833
6 M. Winn SS4021001.5001.250
7 N. Church CF3011000.3330.583
8 J. Fermín 3B4000000.0000.000
9 J. Crooks C4000000.0000.000

Cubs vs. Cardinals: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Tuesday

  • Teams: CHI Cubs Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals
  • Date: Tuesday, July 28, 2026
  • Time: 7:45PM ET
  • Venue: Busch Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Cubs (-1.5, +160), Cardinals (+1.5, -163)
  • Moneyline: Cubs +100, Cardinals -102
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (-108/+106)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Cubs: 49.1%
  • Cardinals: 50.9%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Cubs a win probability of 49.1%, while the Cardinals have a win probability of 50.9%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Cardinals are more likely to beat the Cubs in the MLB game at Busch Stadium on Tuesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Cubs vs. Cardinals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.