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Yankees vs. Nationals Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Yankees vs. Nationals MLB game on July 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB
Yankees
Will Warren 7-4, 4.15 ERA
5
3
Jul 12, 1:35 PM ET Nationals Park
Nationals
Cade Cavalli 5-4, 3.89 ERA
Jul 12, 1:35 PM ET Nationals Park
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yankees | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
Nationals | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
- Yankees
- Nationals
Win Probability
Last At Bat
Outs
Jorbit Vivas flies out to center field to Cody Bellinger.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T. Grisham | CF | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 2 | A. Sánchez | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 3 | J. Domínguez | DH | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 4 | C. Bellinger | LF | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .667 | 1.750 |
| 5 | J. Chisholm | 2B | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.250 |
| 6 | J. Caballero | 3B | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .333 | 0.583 |
| 7 | P. Goldschmidt | 1B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | 0.500 |
| 8 | A. Volpe | SS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 9 | M. Schuemann | RF | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 0.500 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Wood | RF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .500 | 2.750 |
| 2 | A. Chaparro | 1B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 3 | C. Mead | DH | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 2.500 |
| 4 | C. Abrams | SS | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 5 | D. Crews | CF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 6 | D. Lile | LF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 7 | N. Nuñez | 2B | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 8 | J. Vivas | 3B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 9 | K. Ruiz | C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
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Yankees vs. Nationals: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Yankees vs. Nationals
- Date: Sunday, July 12, 2026
- Time: 1:35 PM ET
- Venue: Nationals Park
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Yankees favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 9.5
- Moneyline Odds: Yankees +115, Nationals -113
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Yankees: 49%
- Nationals: 51%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Yankees a win probability of 49%, while the Nationals have a win probability of 51%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Nationals are more likely to beat the Yankees in the MLB game at Nationals Park on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Yankees vs. Nationals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.