Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Brewers vs. Pirates MLB game on July 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Brewers
Robert Gasser 2-3, 4.15 ERA
5
14
PNC Park
Pirates
Paul Skenes 7-8, 3.58 ERA
PNC Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Brewers
0 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 0 5 8 1
Pirates
0 4 0 10 0 0 0 0 X 14 15 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Brewers
    0%
  • Pirates
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Jackson Chourio grounds out to shallow infield. Luis Lara out at second.
Quick Box Score
Brewers Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 L. Lara PH0000010.0001.000
2 J. Chourio LF5221002.4001.000
3 B. Turang 2B3112110.3331.833
4 J. Bauers 1B3110010.3330.833
5 G. Sánchez C3011010.3330.833
6 G. Mitchell CF4011001.2500.750
7 S. Frelick RF4000001.0000.000
8 J. Ortiz SS4010001.2500.500
9 A. Vaughn 3B2000000.0000.000
Pirates Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Mangum LF4111010.2501.150
2 T. Callihan 2B1000000.0000.000
3 J. Gonzalez 1B1000000.0000.000
4 E. Valdez RF4211012.2500.900
5 B. Cook CF1000001.0000.000
6 N. Gonzales 3B5122001.4001.000
7 M. Ozuna DH5222102.4001.400
8 J. Triolo SS5132000.6001.400
9 H. Davis C4323101.5001.750

Brewers vs. Pirates: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Brewers vs. Pirates
  • Date: Sunday, July 12, 2026
  • Time: 12:15 PM ET
  • Venue: PNC Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Pirates favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Brewers 45¢, Pirates -120

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Brewers: 44%
  • Pirates: 56%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Brewers a win probability of 44%, while the Pirates have a win probability of 56%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Pirates are more likely to beat the Brewers in the MLB game at PNC Park on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Brewers vs. Pirates predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.