Red Sox vs. Mets Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Red Sox vs. Mets MLB game on July 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Red Sox
Payton Tolle 5-6, 3.14 ERA
3
2
Citi Field
Mets
Zach Thornton 0-1, 4.36 ERA
Citi Field
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 RHE
Red Sox
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 3 4 0
Mets
0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 6 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Red Sox
    100%
  • Mets
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Bo Bichette grounds out to shallow infield to Andruw Monasterio.
Quick Box Score
Red Sox Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 A. Seigler 2B4001000.0000.000
2 C. Rafaela CF5110002.2000.400
3 W. Abreu RF4000000.0000.000
4 T. Cheng SS0100000.0000.000
5 C. Durbin 3B2000011.0000.333
6 A. Monasterio 1B2011020.5001.750
7 J. Duran DH4011001.2500.500
8 M. Yoshida LF1100000.0000.000
9 C. Wong C3010000.3330.666
Mets Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 A. Ewing CF4110003.2500.750
2 J. Soto DH4000001.0000.000
3 F. Lindor SS4122100.5002.000
4 J. Young 1B10100001.0002.000
5 C. Benge RF4000003.0000.000
6 T. Taylor LF3010011.3331.167
7 J. Polanco PH1000001.0000.000
8 B. Baty 3B4000001.0000.000
9 B. Bichette PH1000000.0000.000

Red Sox vs. Mets: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Red Sox vs. Mets
  • Date: Sunday, July 12, 2026
  • Time: 1:40 PM ET
  • Venue: Citi Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Red Sox favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8
  • Moneyline Odds: Red Sox 49¢, Mets 49¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Red Sox: 46%
  • Mets: 54%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Red Sox a win probability of 46%, while the Mets have a win probability of 54%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Mets are more likely to beat the Red Sox in the MLB game at Citi Field on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Red Sox vs. Mets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.