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Red Sox vs. Mets Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Red Sox vs. Mets MLB game on July 11, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB
Red Sox
Eduardo Rivera 0-0, 0.00 ERA
4
0
Jul 11, 4:10 PM ET Citi Field
Mets
Freddy Peralta 5-7, 4.68 ERA
Jul 11, 4:10 PM ET Citi Field
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Red Sox | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
Mets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
- Red Sox
- Mets
Win Probability
Last At Bat
Outs
Tyrone Taylor flies out to center field to Ceddanne Rafaela.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Seigler | 2B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 2 | C. Rafaela | CF | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .200 | 0.600 |
| 3 | W. Abreu | RF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 4 | C. Durbin | 3B | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .667 | 1.417 |
| 5 | M. Yoshida | DH | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .333 | 1.833 |
| 6 | A. Monasterio | SS | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .667 | 3.000 |
| 7 | J. Duran | LF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 8 | C. Narváez | C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 9 | R. Gonzalez | 1B | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Ewing | 2B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 2 | J. Soto | LF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 3 | F. Lindor | SS | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 4 | C. Benge | RF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 5 | J. Polanco | DH | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 6 | E. Wagaman | 1B | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 7 | F. Alvarez | C | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .667 | 1.417 |
| 8 | B. Baty | 3B | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 9 | T. Taylor | CF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
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Red Sox vs. Mets: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Red Sox vs. Mets
- Date: Saturday, July 11, 2026
- Time: 4:10 PM ET
- Venue: Citi Field
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Mets favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 7.5
- Moneyline Odds: Red Sox +138, Mets -130
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Red Sox: 41%
- Mets: 59%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Red Sox a win probability of 41%, while the Mets have a win probability of 59%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Mets are more likely to beat the Red Sox in the MLB game at Citi Field on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Red Sox vs. Mets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.