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Phillies vs. Tigers Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Phillies vs. Tigers MLB game on July 11, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB
Phillies
Cristopher Sánchez 10-4, 2.62 ERA
4
2
Jul 11, 6:10 PM ET Comerica Park
Tigers
Casey Mize 4-5, 2.64 ERA
Jul 11, 6:10 PM ET Comerica Park
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Phillies | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 |
Tigers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
- Phillies
- Tigers
Win Probability
Last At Bat
Outs
Zach McKinstry pops out to shortstop to Trea Turner.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T. Turner | SS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 2 | K. Schwarber | DH | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 3 | B. Harper | 1B | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.250 |
| 4 | B. Marsh | LF | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 5 | A. Bohm | 3B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 6 | B. Stott | 2B | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .500 | 1.000 |
| 7 | J. Realmuto | C | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 0.750 |
| 8 | G. Rincones | RF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 9 | D. Hill | CF | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | 0.666 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Vierling | CF | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.000 |
| 2 | K. McGonigle | 3B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 3 | D. Dingler | DH | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .333 | 0.833 |
| 4 | S. Torkelson | 1B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 5 | R. Greene | LF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 6 | E. Valencia | C | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.750 |
| 7 | C. Keith | PH | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 8 | K. Carpenter | PH | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 9 | Z. McKinstry | SS | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
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Phillies vs. Tigers: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Phillies vs. Tigers
- Date: Saturday, July 11, 2026
- Time: 6:10 PM ET
- Venue: Comerica Park
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Phillies favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 7.5
- Moneyline Odds: Phillies -113, Tigers +125
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Phillies: 57%
- Tigers: 43%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Phillies a win probability of 57%, while the Tigers have a win probability of 43%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Tigers in the MLB game at Comerica Park on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Phillies vs. Tigers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.