Yankees vs. Rays Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Yankees vs. Rays MLB game on July 9, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Yankees
Paul Blackburn 2-1, 2.22 ERA
12
4
Jul 9, 1:10 PM ET Tropicana Field
Rays
Drew Rasmussen 7-4, 2.78 ERA
Jul 9, 1:10 PM ET Tropicana Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Yankees
0 0 6 1 0 3 1 1 0 12 14 0
Rays
1 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 10 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Yankees
    100%
  • Rays
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Junior Caminero hits into a force out to shortstop. Jonathan Aranda out at second.
Quick Box Score
Yankees Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Grisham CF5221000.4001.000
2 B. Rice DH4325211.5002.600
3 J. Domínguez RF4120011.5001.100
4 C. Bellinger 1B5121000.4000.800
5 J. Caballero SS4011001.2500.500
6 J. Chisholm 2B3001000.0000.200
7 M. Schuemann LF4220001.5001.350
8 R. McMahon 3B5122002.4001.200
9 A. Wells C4211111.2501.400
Rays Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 R. Palacios 2B1000000.0000.000
2 J. Aranda 1B4020010.5001.100
3 J. Caminero 3B4111100.2501.400
4 J. DeLuca CF2000002.0000.000
5 R. Vilade RF4000001.0000.000
6 C. Simpson LF4120000.5002.000
7 B. Williamson P4021001.5001.000
8 T. Walls SS4000003.0000.000
9 N. Fortes C3110010.3330.833

Yankees vs. Rays: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Yankees vs. Rays
  • Date: Thursday, July 9, 2026
  • Time: 1:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Tropicana Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Rays favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Yankees +138, Rays -135

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Yankees: 46%
  • Rays: 54%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Yankees a win probability of 46%, while the Rays have a win probability of 54%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Rays are more likely to beat the Yankees in the MLB game at Tropicana Field on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Yankees vs. Rays predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.