Cubs vs. Orioles Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Cubs vs. Orioles MLB game on July 9, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Cubs
David Peterson 4-7, 6.75 ERA
2
3
Jul 9, 1:35 PM ET Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Orioles
Trevor Rogers 6-7, 4.70 ERA
Jul 9, 1:35 PM ET Oriole Park at Camden Yards
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Cubs
0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 2 9 0
Orioles
0 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 X 3 3 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cubs
    0%
  • Orioles
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Michael Conforto lines out to left field to Taylor Ward.
Quick Box Score
Cubs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 P. Crow-Armstrong CF3110011.3331.167
2 A. Bregman 3B3000010.0000.250
3 J. Dean RF0000000.0000.000
4 C. Kelly DH4000002.0000.000
5 M. Busch 1B4010000.2500.500
6 N. Hoerner 2B4010000.2500.750
7 I. Happ LF4020001.5001.000
8 D. Swanson SS4010001.2500.500
9 M. Conforto PH1000000.0000.000
Orioles Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 A. Rutschman DH2000020.0000.500
2 T. Ward LF3010011.3330.833
3 G. Henderson SS3100000.0000.250
4 P. Alonso 1B1100021.0000.750
5 C. Cowser CF0000000.0000.000
6 J. Holliday 2B0000020.0001.000
7 S. Basallo C4000001.0000.000
8 B. Alexander 3B4000000.0000.000
9 L. Taveras RF3000001.0000.000

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Cubs vs. Orioles: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Cubs vs. Orioles
  • Date: Thursday, July 9, 2026
  • Time: 1:35 PM ET
  • Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Orioles favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 9.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Cubs +115, Orioles -115

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Cubs: 47%
  • Orioles: 53%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Cubs a win probability of 47%, while the Orioles have a win probability of 53%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Orioles are more likely to beat the Cubs in the MLB game at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Cubs vs. Orioles predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.