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Read Article Blue Jays vs. Rangers prediction: Why Texas is favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [9/20/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Dimers' simulation model projects a 58.5% win probability for the Rangers at Globe Life Field.
The Texas Rangers and Toronto bluejays will lock horns in MLB action at Globe Life Field on Sunday, starting at 2:35 PM ET.
Jacob deGrom (11-9, 3.79 ERA) will get the ball for the Rangers, up against Spencer Miles (6-2, 2.65 ERA) for the Blue Jays.
Dimers' advanced MLB model projects the Rangers as the most likely winner in this Blue Jays vs. Rangers prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
For more, dive into Jacob deGrom's pitching projections.
Blue Jays vs. Rangers prediction and odds
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's MLB game between the Blue Jays and Rangers, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Rangers a 58.5% chance of defeating the Blue Jays. According to our model, the Blue Jays (+1.5) have a 58.7% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 55.4% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Blue Jays +1.5 (-138) / Rangers -1.5 (+138)
- Moneyline: Blue Jays +156, Rangers -156
- Total: Over/Under 7.5 (+117/-120)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Blue Jays +1.5 @ 58¢ via Polymarket
- Moneyline: Blue Jays @ 39¢ via Novig
- Total: Over 7.5 @ 46¢ via Novig
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first pitch details
Sunday's MLB game between the Rangers and Blue Jays at Globe Life Field is scheduled to begin at 2:35 PM ET.
- Who: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangers
- Date: Sunday, September 20, 2026
- Time: 2:35 PM ET/11:35AM PT
- Venue: Globe Life Field
Conclusion
We predict the Rangers, with a 58.5% win probability, will likely beat the Blue Jays in Sunday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLB prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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