Sep 26, 2026
Mets vs. Nationals prediction: Why Mets are favored to win Saturday's MLB matchup [9/26/2026]
Read Article Pirates vs. Tigers prediction: Pittsburgh favored to win Saturday's MLB matchup [9/26/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Dimers' simulation model projects a 51.7% win probability for the Pirates at Comerica Park.
The Detroit Tigers will face the Pittsburgh Pirates, in what is expected to be a close MLB game, at Comerica Park on Saturday, beginning at 1:10 PM ET.
The Tigers will send Justin Verlander (0-1, 12.27 ERA) to the mound, pitting him against Kirby Yates (2-5, 3.32 ERA) for the Pirates.
Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Pirates a slight edge with a 51.7% win probability over the Tigers.
This article offers a complete Pirates vs. Tigers prediction, including best bets and picks.
Pirates vs. Tigers prediction and odds
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Saturday's MLB game between the Pirates and Tigers, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Pirates a 51.7% chance of beating the Tigers. According to our model, the Tigers (+1.5) have a 59.9% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 50.8% chance of staying under.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Pirates -1.5 (+178) / Tigers +1.5 (-182)
- Moneyline: Pirates +100, Tigers -104
- Total: Over/Under 8.5 (+104/-106)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Pirates -1.5 @ 36¢ via Polymarket
- Moneyline: Pirates @ +100 via bet365
- Total: Over 8.5 @ 49¢ via Novig
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Pirates -1.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first pitch details
Saturday's MLB game between the Tigers and Pirates at Comerica Park is scheduled to commence at 1:10 PM ET.
- Who: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers
- Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026
- Time: 1:10 PM ET/10:10AM PT
- Venue: Comerica Park
Conclusion
We predict the Pirates, with a 51.7% win probability, will likely beat the Tigers in Saturday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLB prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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