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Read Article Yankees vs. Phillies prediction: Why Yankees are favored to win Saturday's MLB matchup [7/25/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies predictions for MLB Saturday.
MLB action continues on Saturday at 6:05 PM ET as the New York Yankees lock horns with the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park.
The Phillies will send Tim Mayza (2-3, 4.00 ERA) to the mound, up against Ryan Weathers (3-7, 4.40 ERA) for the Yankees.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Yankees a slight edge with a 51.8% win probability over the Phillies.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's Yankees vs. Phillies matchup, including best bets and picks.
Yankees vs. Phillies prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLB game between the Yankees and Phillies, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Yankees a 51.8% chance of defeating the Phillies.
According to our model, the Phillies (+1.5) have a 59.3% chance of covering the run line, while the 9-run over/under has a 52.6% chance of going over,.
Yankees vs. Phillies odds [7/25/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Yankees | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+138) | +1.5 (-144) |
| Moneyline | -115 | +117 |
| Total | o9 (+100) | u9 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Yankees vs. Phillies picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Phillies +1.5 | -144 |
| Moneyline | Phillies | +117 |
| Total | Over 9 | +100 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 9 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Yankees vs. Phillies game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's MLB game between the Phillies and Yankees at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to begin at 6:05 PM ET.
- Who: New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies
- Date: Saturday, July 25, 2026
- Time: 6:05 PM ET/3:05PM PT
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park
Conclusion
We predict the Yankees, with a 51.8% win probability, will likely beat the Phillies in Saturday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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