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Read Article Yankees vs. Cubs prediction: Why Cubs are favored to win Saturday's MLB matchup [8/1/2026]
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Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs predictions for MLB Saturday.
The Chicago Cubs and New York Yankees are scheduled to meet in MLB action at Wrigley Field on Saturday, starting at 7:15 PM ET.
David Peterson (6-7, 5.80 ERA) will get the ball for the Cubs, up against Max Fried (4-3, 3.23 ERA) for the Yankees.
Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Cubs a slight edge with a 53.1% win probability over the Yankees.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's Yankees vs. Cubs matchup, including best bets and picks.
Yankees vs. Cubs prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's MLB matchup between the Yankees and Cubs, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Cubs a 53.1% chance of beating the Yankees.
According to our model, the Cubs (+1.5) have a 56.7% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 6.5 runs has a 54.1% chance of going over,.
Yankees vs. Cubs odds [8/1/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Yankees | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+195) | +1.5 (-203) |
| Moneyline | +111 | -113 |
| Total | o6.5 (+117) | u6.5 (-117) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Yankees vs. Cubs picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Yankees -1.5 | +195 |
| Moneyline | Cubs | -113 |
| Total | Over 6.5 | +117 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Yankees -1.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Yankees vs. Cubs game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's MLB matchup between the Cubs and Yankees at Wrigley Field is scheduled to begin at 7:15 PM ET.
- Who: New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs
- Date: Saturday, August 1, 2026
- Time: 7:15 PM ET/4:15PM PT
- Venue: Wrigley Field
Conclusion
We predict the Cubs, with a 53.1% win probability, will likely beat the Yankees in Saturday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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