MLB player props today: Wednesday's best props include Shane Baz [9/9/2026]

Shane Baz under 5.5 hits allowed (-154)

• Edge: 5.9%
• Probability: 66.6%
• Game: Guardians vs. Orioles (6:35PM ET)

Our model has found value on Baltimore's Shane Baz under 5.5 hits allowed. A probability of 66.6% gives this play an edge of 5.9% at -154 odds.

Logan Henderson under 4.5 hits allowed (-132)

• Edge: 9.5%
• Probability: 66.4%
• Game: Cubs vs. Brewers (7:40PM ET)

Logan Henderson’s hits allowed prop shows a 66.4% probability and an 9.5% edge at -132 odds, according to our model.

Hunter Brown under 2.5 walks allowed (-164)

• Edge: 3.7%
• Probability: 65.8%
• Game: Astros vs. Phillies (6:40PM ET)

The data highlights value on Hunter Brown under 2.5 walks allowed, with simulations showing a 65.8% probability and a 3.7% edge at -164.

Hunter Brown over 4.5 strikeouts (-146)

• Edge: 2.6%
• Probability: 61.9%
• Game: Astros vs. Phillies (6:40PM ET)

Our model finds value on Hunter Brown over 4.5 strikeouts, with a 61.9% probability and an edge of 2.6% at -146 odds.

Zebby Matthews under 16.5 outs recorded (-130)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 61.9%
• Game: Twins vs. Tigers (1:10PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Zebby Matthews under 16.5 outs recorded for Minnesota, showing an edge of 5.4% at -130 odds.

Andre Pallante over 4.5 hits allowed (-138)

• Edge: 3.7%
• Probability: 61.7%
• Game: Cardinals vs. Giants (3:45PM ET)

Andre Pallante’s hits allowed prop shows an edge of 3.7% at -138 odds, supported by a 61.7% probability according to our model.

Foster Griffin under 5.5 strikeouts (-111)

• Edge: 8.9%
• Probability: 61.5%
• Game: Guardians vs. Orioles (6:35PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Foster Griffin under 5.5 strikeouts for Cleveland, with a 61.5% probability and a 8.9% edge at -111 odds.

Andre Pallante over 1.5 walks allowed (-123)

• Edge: 5.9%
• Probability: 61.1%
• Game: Cardinals vs. Giants (3:45PM ET)

The data shows value on Andre Pallante over 1.5 walks allowed, supported by a 61.1% probability at -123 odds and an edge of 5.9%.

Austin Wells over 0.5 bases (-130)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 60.8%
• Game: Rockies vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET)

A 4.3% edge on the over 1.5 bases line makes Austin Wells a value play in Rockies vs. Yankees, supported by a 60.8% probability at -130 odds.

Austin Wells to get a hit (-130)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 60.8%
• Game: Rockies vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET)

Simulations show value on Austin Wells to get a hit here, with a 60.8% probability and 4.3% edge at -130 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Wednesday, September 9, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 5:42AM ET:

Conclusion

For September 9, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Shane Baz, Logan Henderson and Hunter Brown. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.