Nationals vs. Padres: MLB Prediction & Analysis
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nationals | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Padres | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | X | 9 | 16 | 0 |
- Nationals
- Padres
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Wood | DH | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .333 | 0.833 |
| 2 | D. Crews | RF | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .333 | 0.833 |
| 3 | A. Chaparro | 1B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 4 | C. Abrams | SS | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 5 | J. Tena | 2B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 6 | D. Lile | LF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 7 | K. Ruiz | C | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .250 | 1.250 |
| 8 | B. House | 3B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 9 | J. Young | CF | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | 0.666 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Tatis | 2B | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .600 | 1.200 |
| 2 | X. Bogaerts | SS | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .250 | 0.650 |
| 3 | M. Machado | 3B | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .000 | 0.200 |
| 4 | T. France | 1B | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .600 | 1.400 |
| 5 | J. Merrill | CF | 5 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .800 | 3.200 |
| 6 | L. Campusano | C | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .250 | 0.650 |
| 7 | E. Salas | DH | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 8 | S. Taylor | LF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .500 | 1.250 |
| 9 | J. Bowen | RF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0.000 |
Nationals vs. Padres: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup overview: MLB Wednesday
- Teams: Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres
- Date: Wednesday, September 9, 2026
- Time: 4:10PM ET
- Venue: Petco Park
Current betting odds
- Spread: Nationals (+1.5, -125), Padres (-1.5, +125)
- Moneyline: Nationals +174, Padres -177
- Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (-108/+108)
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Nationals: 38.0%
- Padres: 62.0%
Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nationals a win probability of 38.0%, while the Padres have a win probability of 62.0%.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Padres are more likely to beat the Nationals in the MLB game at Petco Park on Wednesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Nationals vs. Padres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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