MLB strikeout projections today: Chris Sale leads top pitchers for September 11, 2026

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get baseball pitcher projections today backed by expert analysis of Friday's MLB slate.

MLB Pitcher Projections Today.
Our pitcher projections for September 11, 2026, are based on Friday's projected and confirmed pitchers.

Our MLB strikeout projections for Friday, September 11, 2026, feature Chris Sale of the Braves as the top projected pitcher, according to Dimers Pro’s latest simulation data.

Today’s pitching projections are powered by our MLB model, which simulates every game thousands of times to estimate outcomes like strikeouts, outs recorded, and earned runs allowed.

Strikeout projections for September 11, 2026

See which pitchers join Sale on today’s leaderboard, with supporting projections included.

  • Chris Sale (Braves): 6.38 Ks, 16.58 outs, 1.78 earned runs, 4.22 hits
  • Dustin May (Brewers): 5.19 Ks, 16.71 outs, 2.37 earned runs, 4.87 hits
  • Aaron Nola (Phillies): 5.09 Ks, 15.98 outs, 2.48 earned runs, 5.24 hits
  • Sonny Gray (Red Sox): 5.08 Ks, 15.61 outs, 2.11 earned runs, 5.01 hits
  • Carlos Rodón (Yankees): 4.99 Ks, 15.03 outs, 2.11 earned runs, 3.99 hits
  • Framber Valdez (Tigers): 4.94 Ks, 17.77 outs, 2.23 earned runs, 5.22 hits
  • Nolan McLean (Mets): 4.84 Ks, 15.27 outs, 2.17 earned runs, 4.41 hits
  • Robbie Ray (Padres): 4.74 Ks, 15.00 outs, 2.12 earned runs, 4.58 hits
  • George Kirby (Mariners): 4.73 Ks, 14.93 outs, 2.02 earned runs, 4.93 hits
  • Andrew Abbott (Reds): 4.58 Ks, 14.66 outs, 2.54 earned runs, 5.32 hits

For September 11, 2026, Sale tops today’s MLB strikeout projections with 6.38, followed by Dustin May at 5.19. Aaron Nola, Sonny Gray and Carlos Rodón round out the top five.

Want to explore the full slate? Check out today’s MLB pitcher projections to sort by strikeouts, outs, or earned runs for every starter.

Plus, check out the other side of the action with Friday's top 10 home run predictions.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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