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Read Article Today’s top 10 most likely home run hitters, plus +1700 pick for Dinger Tuesday [7/28/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get home run predictions today guided by expert analysis of Tuesday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Tuesday, July 28, 2026, feature Shohei Ohtani as the top projected hitter, according to Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Tuesday's HR projections pull from our full list of home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the most likely home run hitters today.
Home run predictions for July 28, 2026
See which hitters join Ohtani on today’s list — plus a long-shot pick the model rates as value at +1700.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 23.6% |
| Eugenio Suárez (Reds) | 19.7% |
| Fernando Tatis (Padres) | 18.4% |
| Byron Buxton (Twins) | 18.4% |
| Wilyer Abreu (Red Sox) | 18.3% |
| Kyle Tucker (Dodgers) | 17.8% |
| Nick Kurtz (Athletics) | 17.8% |
| Junior Caminero (Rays) | 17.7% |
| Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) | 17.5% |
| Teoscar Hernández (Dodgers) | 17.5% |
Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 23.6% chance to go yard, followed by Eugenio Suárez (19.7%) and Fernando Tatis (18.4%).
Byron Buxton and Wilyer Abreu are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Tuesday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Tuesday's home run picks [7/28/2026]
Powered by 10,000 simulations and data-driven variables like weather and pitcher form, Dimers Pro identifies today’s top home run prop.
David Hamilton (Brewers) to hit a home run
- Probability: 7.9%
- Odds: fanatics+1700
- Edge: 2.3%
- Game: Brewers vs. Giants (9:45 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Landen Roupp
Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Milwaukee slugger David Hamilton rates as a value play at +1700 with fanatics, showing a 2.3% edge.
Set to face Landen Roupp in tonight's Brewers-Giants matchup, the data supports Hamilton as one of Tuesday’s strongest value spots among available home run props — and a natural fit for Dinger Tuesday, a weekly tradition where bettors focus on home run value plays across the slate.
Originally sparked by sportsbook offers rewarding bonus bets for each home run hit by a selected player, Dinger Tuesday has evolved into a weekly tradition for MLB bettors — where clear, model-driven insights like these can help separate signal from noise.
Pro users have access to all of our home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Conclusion
For July 28, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Eugenio Suárez and Fernando Tatis projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's David Hamilton who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 2.3% edge at +1700 odds.
Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Tuesday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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