Today’s top 10 most likely home run hitters, plus +700 pick for Saturday [9/26/2026]

• Yordan Alvarez (Astros): 21.4% probability
• Munetaka Murakami (White Sox): 21.0%
• Colson Montgomery (White Sox): 18.3%
• Christian Walker (Astros): 18.2%
• Shea Langeliers (Athletics): 18.1%
• Vladimir Guerrero (Blue Jays): 18.0%
• Cal Raleigh (Mariners): 17.4%
• Isaac Paredes (Astros): 17.3%
• Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers): 16.8%
• Eugenio Suárez (Reds): 16.4%

Our analysis shows Alvarez leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 21.4% chance to go yard, followed by Munetaka Murakami (21.0%) and Colson Montgomery (18.3%).

Christian Walker and Shea Langeliers are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Saturday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Saturday's home run picks [9/26/2026]

Powered by 10,000 simulations and data-driven factors like weather and pitcher form, Dimers Pro identifies today’s top home run prop.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (Blue Jays) to hit a home run

• Probability: 18%
• Odds: +700
• Edge: 5.5%
• Pitching matchup: Rhett Lowder
• More game projections: Reds vs. Blue Jays prediction (3:07 PM EDT)

Ranked among today’s top 10 home run projections, Toronto slugger Vladimir Guerrero Jr. rates as a value play at +700 with Fanatics, showing a 5.5% edge.

Against Reds starter Rhett Lowder, the data supports Jr. as one of Saturday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

Pro users have access to a total of 16 home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For September 26, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Yordan Alvarez, Munetaka Murakami and Colson Montgomery projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Vladimir Guerrero Jr. who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 5.5% edge at +700 odds.

Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Saturday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts

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