Home run predictions and picks: Top bet for Sunday has +700 odds [9/20/2026]

Our MLB home run predictions for Sunday, September 20, 2026, feature Cal Raleigh as the top projected hitter, per Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.

Sunday's HR projections pull from our proprietary home run predictions, built to highlight the top home run picks today.

Home run predictions for September 20, 2026

See which hitters join Raleigh on today’s list — including one long-shot pick the model rates as value at +700.

• Cal Raleigh (Mariners): 28.4% probability
• Julio Rodríguez (Mariners): 22.2%
• Michael Busch (Cubs): 20.0%
• Yordan Alvarez (Astros): 19.6%
• Dominic Canzone (Mariners): 18.9%
• Josh Naylor (Mariners): 18.7%
• Seiya Suzuki (Cubs): 18.4%
• Kyle Schwarber (Phillies): 18.3%
• Lazaro Montes (Mariners): 18.0%
• Junior Caminero (Rays): 17.9%

Our analysis shows Raleigh leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 28.4% chance to go deep, followed by Julio Rodríguez (22.2%) and Michael Busch (20.0%).

Yordan Alvarez and Dominic Canzone are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Sunday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Sunday's home run picks [9/20/2026]

Powered by 10,000 simulations and data-driven factors like weather and pitcher form, Dimers Pro highlights today’s top home run prop.

Josh Naylor (Mariners) to hit a home run

• Probability: 18.7%
• Odds: +700
• Edge: 6.2%
• Pitching matchup: Tomoyuki Sugano
• More game projections: Mariners vs. Rockies prediction (3:10 PM EDT)

Ranked among today’s top 10 home run projections, Seattle slugger Josh Naylor rates as a value play at +700 with Fanatics, showing a 6.2% edge.

With Tomoyuki Sugano on the mound for the Rockies, the data supports Naylor as one of Sunday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

Pro users have access to a total of 14 home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For September 20, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Cal Raleigh, Julio Rodríguez and Michael Busch projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Josh Naylor who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 6.2% edge at +700 odds.

Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Sunday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts

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