Home run predictions for Saturday include Cal Raleigh, Josh Naylor [9/19/2026]

• Cal Raleigh (Mariners): 28.2% probability
• Julio Rodríguez (Mariners): 22.4%
• Eugenio Suárez (Reds): 19.4%
• Dominic Canzone (Mariners): 19.0%
• Josh Naylor (Mariners): 18.8%
• Kyle Schwarber (Phillies): 18.6%
• Juan Soto (Mets): 18.2%
• Vladimir Guerrero (Blue Jays): 17.6%
• Junior Caminero (Rays): 17.5%
• Weston Wilson (Mariners): 17.3%

Our analysis shows Raleigh leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 28.2% chance to go deep, followed by Julio Rodríguez (22.4%) and Eugenio Suárez (19.4%).

Dominic Canzone and Josh Naylor are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Saturday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Saturday's home run picks [9/19/2026]

Dimers Pro’s 10,000-simulation model, factoring in weather and pitching matchups, identifies today’s highest-rated home run prop.

Josh Naylor (Mariners) to hit a home run

• Probability: 18.8%
• Odds: +750
• Edge: 7.0%
• Pitching matchup: Jose Quintana
• More game projections: Mariners vs. Rockies prediction (8:10 PM EDT)

Ranked among today’s top five home run projections, Seattle slugger Josh Naylor rates as a value play at +750 with Fanatics, showing a 7.0% edge.

Set to face Jose Quintana in tonight's Mariners-Rockies matchup, the data supports Naylor as one of Saturday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

Pro users have access to a total of 23 home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For September 19, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Cal Raleigh, Julio Rodríguez and Eugenio Suárez projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Josh Naylor who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 7.0% edge at +750 odds.

Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Saturday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts

For tips and resources on responsible wagering, visit our Responsible Gambling section.