Home run predictions and picks: Top bet for Saturday has +1000 odds [8/1/2026]
Get home run predictions today driven by expert analysis of Saturday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Saturday, August 1, 2026, feature Cal Raleigh as the top projected hitter, based on Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Saturday's HR projections come from our home run predictions, which highlight the top slugging candidates today.
Home run predictions for August 1, 2026
See which hitters join Raleigh on today’s list — plus a long-shot pick the model rates as value at +1000.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (Mariners) | 24.1% |
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 22.1% |
| Matt Olson (Braves) | 21.3% |
| Ronald Acuña (Braves) | 21.2% |
| Austin Riley (Braves) | 20.3% |
| Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) | 19.7% |
| Jo Adell (Angels) | 19.2% |
| Julio Rodríguez (Mariners) | 19.2% |
| Nick Kurtz (Athletics) | 19.1% |
| Riley Greene (Tigers) | 18.0% |
Our analysis shows Raleigh leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 24.1% chance to go yard, followed by Shohei Ohtani (22.1%) and Matt Olson (21.3%).
Ronald Acuña and Austin Riley are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Saturday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Saturday's home run picks [8/1/2026]
Powered by 10,000 simulations and data-driven variables like weather and pitcher form, Dimers Pro highlights today’s top home run prop.
Josh Naylor (Mariners) to hit a home run
- Probability: 15.7%
- Odds: fanatics+1000
- Edge: 6.6%
- Game: Twins vs. Mariners (4:10 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Connor Prielipp
Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Seattle slugger Josh Naylor rates as a value play at +1000 with fanatics, showing a 6.6% edge.
Against Twins starter Connor Prielipp, the data supports Naylor as one of Saturday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.
Pro users have access to a total of 38 home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Conclusion
For August 1, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Cal Raleigh, Shohei Ohtani and Matt Olson projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Josh Naylor who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 6.6% edge at +1000 odds.
Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Saturday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
