MLB picks today: Sunday's MLB best bets include Royals vs. Red Sox play [9/13/2026]

Royals vs. Red Sox Over 7.5 runs (+108)

• Edge: 8.4%
• Probability: 56.5%
• Matchup: Royals vs. Red Sox (3:05PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Over 7.5 runs in Royals vs. Red Sox at +108 odds. A 56.5% probability produces an edge of 8.4%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.

Orioles vs. Blue Jays Over 7.5 runs (+108)

• Edge: 7.5%
• Probability: 55.5%
• Matchup: Orioles vs. Blue Jays (1:37PM ET)

Orioles vs. Blue Jays over 7.5 runs carries a 7.5% edge and a probability of 55.5% at +108 odds, according to our model.

Rangers vs. Diamondbacks Over 8.5 runs (+104)

• Edge: 6.9%
• Probability: 56%
• Matchup: Rangers vs. Diamondbacks (4:10PM ET)

Rangers vs. Diamondbacks Over 8.5 runs at +104 odds shows a 6.9% edge, supported by a 56% probability in simulations.

Mets vs. Yankees over 7.5 runs (-108)

• Edge: 6.7%
• Probability: 58.6%
• Matchup: Mets vs. Yankees (1:35PM ET)

A 6.7% edge and 58.6% probability make Mets vs. Yankees over 7.5 runs a value play in the Mets vs. Yankees matchup, per our model.

Phillies vs. Braves Over 9 runs (+105)

• Edge: 6.6%
• Probability: 55.3%
• Matchup: Phillies vs. Braves (1:35PM ET)

Phillies vs. Braves Over 9 runs at +105 odds presents a 6.6% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 55.3%.

Pirates vs. Cubs Over 6.5 runs (-109)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 56.9%
• Matchup: Pirates vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET)

Our model finds value on Over 6.5 runs in Pirates vs. Cubs at -109 odds, supported by an edge of 4.7%.

Padres vs. Giants Over 7 runs (+100)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 54.5%
• Matchup: Padres vs. Giants (7:20PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Padres vs. Giants Over 7 runs at +100 odds. A 54.5% probability produces a 4.5% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.

Blue Jays -1.5 (+162)

• Edge: 3.8%
• Probability: 42%
• Matchup: Orioles vs. Blue Jays (1:37PM ET)

A 3.8% edge on a 42% probability makes Blue Jays -1.5 at +162 odds a solid value play in today's Orioles vs. Blue Jays matchup.

Reds ML (+178)

• Edge: 3.8%
• Probability: 39.7%
• Matchup: Reds vs. Brewers (2:10PM ET)

Our model projects value on Reds to win at +178 odds. A 39.7% probability produces a 3.8% edge, making Reds the favorable ML play in today's matchup.

Athletics +1.5 (-122)

• Edge: 3.7%
• Probability: 58.6%
• Matchup: Mariners vs. Athletics (4:05PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Athletics +1.5 at -122 odds shows a 58.6% probability and a 3.7% edge.

MLB best bets summary: Sunday, 9/13/2026

As of 4:32AM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [9/13/2026]

• Rockies vs. Tigers (12:10PM ET, Sunday)
• Mets vs. Yankees (1:35PM ET, Sunday)
• Phillies vs. Braves (1:35PM ET, Sunday)
• Angels vs. Nationals (1:35PM ET, Sunday)
• Orioles vs. Blue Jays (1:37PM ET, Sunday)
• Astros vs. Rays (1:40PM ET, Sunday)
• Dodgers vs. Marlins (1:40PM ET, Sunday)
• Reds vs. Brewers (2:10PM ET, Sunday)
• Pirates vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET, Sunday)
• Royals vs. Red Sox (3:05PM ET, Sunday)
• Mariners vs. Athletics (4:05PM ET, Sunday)
• Rangers vs. D-Backs (4:10PM ET, Sunday)
• Padres vs. Giants (7:20PM ET, Sunday)

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Conclusion

Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for September 13, 2026, featuring plays such as over 7.5 runs in the Royals vs. Red Sox matchup and over 7.5 runs in the Orioles vs. Blue Jays matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.